Even if Pakistan win their last round-robin match against Bangladesh on Friday, they will find it difficult to qualify for semis, thanks to their poor net run rate.
As the end of the round-robin stage matches is approaching in the WC 2019, the excitement for semi-final matches is getting high.
While three teams England, Australia and India have qualified for semis, the fight for the fourth slot seems to be a tussle between Pakistan and New Zealand.
The Kiwis right now are dominating the fourth place with 11 points, Pakistan, on the other hand, is having 9 points with a fair game to play against Bangladesh.
Qualification Scenario for Pakistan
Mathematically, Pakistan still has a chance but practically they are out of contention, thanks to their poor net run rate.
Yesterday, New Zealand lost to England by 119 runs and they now have a net run rate of +0.175. Pakistan had some big defeats in this World Cup and they have a net run rate of -0.792.
Pakistan will play their last round-robin match against Bangladesh on Thursday at Lord’s in London. A win for them and they will earn two points to tie on points with New Zealand.
But a victory in this match won’t do much for Pakistan because they’re behind Kiwis on the net run rate. The only chance for Pakistan to qualify can be when they bat first.
They’ll need to defeat Bangladesh by 311 runs after making a score of 350 or it‘ll need to win by 316 runs after making a score of 400.
No ODI has been won by more than 300 runs in cricket history. Pakistan cannot qualify if they bat second as they would need to get the target in less than zero balls, a mathematically impossible task.
Pakistan’s journey in World Cup 2019
The World Cup campaign of Pakistan starts off on a poor note as they lost against West Indies in their opening match by 7 wickets.
Pakistan then defeated England in their next match, but their third match got called off due to rain. In the fourth match, they lost against Australia by 41 runs.
In the most-awaited match against India, Pakistan got down on 89 runs following the DLS method. They after were down and with just three points in 5 matches.
However, the tables turned for them as they make a strong comeback. Pakistan kept their hopes alive with a victory against New Zeland, Afghanistan, and South Arica in three consecutive matches.
Can Pakistan make history? Well, it seems highly improbable, and we can strongly apprehend that Pakistan won’t make it to the semi-finals.